Unfortunately for Microsoft’s sales target, that’s what quite a few people seem to be saying. They are quite happy with Windows XP and are willing to wait until 2010 or whenever. Windows 7 is the present working name for the next version of Windows. It’s supposed to ship in about three years according to ZDNet. If you thought that the next version of Windows had a different name, you are right. According to Paul Thurott, the next version after Vista started out as “Blackcomb”, then became “Windows Vienna”, and is now “Windows 7″ or maybe “Windows Seven”. It may not matter because another name change is likely before the actual release. Ken Fisher talks about the Windows development cycle at Ars Technica. He says that the subscription model is what Microsoft is aiming for. He comments:
Microsoft desperately needs to reassure its partners that it won’t repeat another Vista-like development cycle. Love it or hate it, Vista’s tardy arrival has damaged the company’s reputation for putting out frequent, usually upgrade-worthy releases. This hurts the company in ways not obvious to end users.
Microsoft’s pie-in-the-sky, dream-come-true version of the future is one in which both businesses and consumers subscribe to Microsoft products rather than buy them. As I wrote way back in 2002, this is ultimately about annualizing software revenue for Microsoft (IT shops don’t mind it either, in theory). Obviously Microsoft’s big focus is on subscriptions for businesses, but the company is already testing “pay as you go” consumer subscriptions in developing countries.
Vista will sell many copies simply because of the Microsoft near-monopoly, but many enterprises are waiting to adopt Vista until SP1 or even later. Also, Vista is getting panned by some experts like Chris Pirillo. Others, like David Berlind, say Vista is OK but nothing special. He echoes many of my own experiences when he writes:
Today, I’m a user of both Windows XP and Windows Vista and while I remain convinced that Vista is a better OS than XP, my usage of XP serves as a constant reminder that when it comes to getting my work done, I’m not getting it done any faster or better in Vista. In fact, because of the way several things have been moved around in Vista, and because of the way Internet Explorer 7, in an effort to protect us from ourselves, locks up the Web in a chastity belt, I often find myself being slowed down by Vista. It may only be a matter of time before I get used to it (and figure out how to reconfigure IE7 with the necessary wiggle room). But the bottom line is that (a) I’m definitely not more productive and (b) if I finally get to a point where I am more productive, it won’t be by much.